Francesca Curmi vs Jeline Vandromme — Contrexeville Quarter-final
Francesca Curmi faces Jeline Vandromme in the Contrexeville quarter-final on clay. Jeline Vandromme is the paper favourite — ranked #161 — but Francesca Curmi rides a 4-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Vandromme J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Francesca Curmi's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Jeline Vandromme's has cooled.
- Last match: Jeline Vandromme handed Oksana Selekhmeteva a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
- Win streak: Francesca Curmi arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCurmi F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Vandromme J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.