Felix Balshaw vs Philip Henning — Liege Round of 16
Balshaw F.
Felix Balshaw faces Philip Henning in the Liege round of 16 on clay. Philip Henning is the paper favourite — ranked #254 — but Felix Balshaw arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Philip Henning's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Balshaw F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Felix Balshaw 97 games in 14 days, Philip Henning 35.
- Last match: Philip Henning dropped just 5 games past Matteo Martineau.
- Surface form: Felix Balshaw 3 of 4, Philip Henning 1 of 4 on clay recently — Felix Balshaw the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBalshaw F.: 10 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Henning P.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.