Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg — Braunschweig Round of 16
GBR
Choinski J.
Jan Choinski faces Max Hans Rehberg in the Braunschweig round of 16 on clay. Jan Choinski holds the paper edge — ranked #100, a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Choinski J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jan Choinski comes in with 5 days of rest and 116 games in 14d, vs Max Hans Rehberg's 1 and 20.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jan Choinski has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 54 vs 34).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChoinski J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d) · Rehberg M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.