Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Dalibor SvrcinaBraunschweig Round of 32

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#243ATP
1532ELO
1516Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#112ATP
1640ELO
1578Clay ELO
$300kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLLLW
Seyboth Wild T.
vs
Svrcina D.

Thiago Seyboth Wild faces Dalibor Svrcina in the Braunschweig round of 32 on clay. Dalibor Svrcina is the paper favourite — ranked #112, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Thiago Seyboth Wild arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay to Dalibor Svrcina's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC
Seyboth Wild T.29%
Svrcina D.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svrcina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1516
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Seyboth Wild T.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Svrcina D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Seyboth Wild T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
36
Break points saved·Dominant
93
44
Break points won·Dominant
25
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
20
27
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
16
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
89

Seyboth Wild T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Svrcina D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CRain
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.