Tsung Hao Huang vs Guy Den OudenLiege Round of 32

Liege · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#612ATP
1309ELO
1264Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#244ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLL
Huang T.
vs
Den Ouden G.

Tsung Hao Huang faces Guy Den Ouden in the Liege round of 32 on clay. Guy Den Ouden holds the paper edge — ranked #244, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC
Huang T.11%
Den Ouden G.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Den Ouden G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Tsung Hao Huang 40 games in 14 days, Guy Den Ouden 20.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1264
Surface ELO
7.7+220 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1309
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Huang T.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

8 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
49%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Huang T.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Den Ouden G.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Huang T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
99

Huang T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Den Ouden G.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 38%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.