Tomas Barrios Vera vs Ilia Simakin — Iasi Round of 32
Barrios Vera T.
Tomas Barrios Vera faces Ilia Simakin in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Tomas Barrios Vera holds the paper edge — ranked #137, a roughly 270-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Barrios Vera T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tomas Barrios Vera comes in with 10 days of rest and 95 games in 14d, vs Ilia Simakin's 5 and 111.
- Surface form: Both 2 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBarrios Vera T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Simakin I.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.