Alice Tubello vs Yufei RenContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#229WTA
1487ELO
1479Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#311WTA
1361ELO
1351Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLLWL
Tubello A.
vs
Ren Y.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Tubello A.88%
Ren Y.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tubello A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+128 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1351
6.3Overall Elo 1486
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1361
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tubello A.Sliding
Ren Y.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
50%
51%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
0.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tubello A.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Ren Y.

Ren Y.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Tubello A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Tubello A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.