Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet MinnenNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#256WTA
1448ELO
1376Grass ELO
27 yrs · 152 cm
Last 10
LWLWLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
#205WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Yamaguchi M.
vs
Minnen G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Yamaguchi M.11%
Minnen G.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Grass Elo 1376
Surface ELO
8.8+302 Grass Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1723
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yamaguchi M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Minnen G.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yamaguchi M.

Serve advantage — Minnen G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Minnen G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.