Tristan Mccormick vs Pedro SakamotoBogota Round of 32

Bogota · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
1086ELO
1084Clay ELO
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#496ATP
1281ELO
1266Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWLLL
Mccormick T.
vs
Sakamoto P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Mccormick T.30%
Sakamoto P.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakamoto P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1084
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1086
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1281
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Mccormick T.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

4 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mccormick T.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sakamoto P.

Sakamoto P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mccormick T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Sakamoto P.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.