Iryna Shymanovich vs Hayu KinoshitaNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#215WTA
1552ELO
1480Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
#227WTA
1545ELO
1448Grass ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLLWWLLWW
Shymanovich I.
vs
Kinoshita H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Shymanovich I.63%
Kinoshita H.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shymanovich I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.4+33 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1448
5.1Overall Elo 1552
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shymanovich I.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Kinoshita H.

Kinoshita H.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Shymanovich I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
96

Shymanovich I.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Kinoshita H.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.