Yasmine Kabbaj vs Mayar SherifContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#275WTA
1447ELO
1416Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#109WTA
1659ELO
1637Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLW
Kabbaj Y.
vs
Sherif M.

Yasmine Kabbaj faces Mayar Sherif in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #109, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Kabbaj Y.11%
Sherif M.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sherif M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1416
Surface ELO
7.8+221 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kabbaj Y.Stable
Sherif M.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kabbaj Y.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Kabbaj Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Sherif M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.