Francesca Jones vs Alice RameContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#106WTA
1626ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#239WTA
1341ELO
1351Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLWWW
Jones F.
vs
Rame A.

Francesca Jones faces Alice Rame in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Francesca Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #106, a roughly 270-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Jones F.86%
Rame A.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jones F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.4+273 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1351
6.5Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1341
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Jones F.Rising
Rame A.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
51%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jones F.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Rame A.

Rame A.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
96

Jones F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Rame A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.