Tsung Hao Huang vs Saba PurtseladzeLiege Qualifying Final

Liege · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#612ATP
1309ELO
1264Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWLL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 2nd on
#649ATP
1220ELO
1110Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLLLL
Huang T.
vs
Purtseladze S.

Tsung Hao Huang faces Saba Purtseladze in the Liege qualifying final on clay. Tsung Hao Huang holds the paper edge — ranked #612, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Huang T.92%
Purtseladze S.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Huang T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+154 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1110
6.1Overall Elo 1309
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1220
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.51 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Huang T.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

8 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
50%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
39%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
7.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Huang T.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Purtseladze S.

Purtseladze S.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Huang T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Huang T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 4 · not before Not Before 12:30 · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Nijboer R. v Rahmani K.
  2. 2Huang T. v Purtseladze S.This match
  3. 3Fomin S. v Dhamne M.

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.