Gonzalo Villanueva vs Jozef KovalikTrieste Qualifying Semi-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#322ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#860ATP
1473ELO
1466Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Villanueva G.
7-6 4-6 7-6
Kovalik J.
Villanueva G.
7472
Kovalik J.
6661

Gonzalo Villanueva defeated Jozef Kovalik in the semifinals of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 4-6, 7-6. The match saw Villanueva and Kovalik hit an equal number of aces, 3 each, and commit 3 and 4 double faults respectively. Villanueva converted 38% of break points, while Kovalik converted 29%, with Villanueva securing 3 service breaks to Kovalik's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
46%
60%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
0
Break points saved·Dominant
19
59
Break points won·Clear edge
26
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
12
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
17
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Villanueva G.16%
Kovalik J.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kovalik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1294
Surface ELO
7.1+172 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1305
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1473
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw