Alan Magadan vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Quito Quarter-final
Magadan A.
Alan Magadan faces Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Quito quarter-final on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida holds the paper edge — ranked #397, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alan Magadan comes in with 1 days of rest and 29 games in 14d, vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's 1 and 126.
- Last match: Alan Magadan dropped just 5 games past Juan Pablo Varillas.
- Last match: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida handed Daniel Antonio Nunez a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMagadan A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.