Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary SvajdaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#119ATP
1734ELO
1558Grass ELO
$160kYTD
$776kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
#66ATP
1730ELO
1677Grass ELO
$619kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWWWL
Llamas Ruiz P.
vs
Svajda Z.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz faces Zachary Svajda in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Zachary Svajda holds the paper edge — ranked #66, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Llamas Ruiz P.36%
Svajda Z.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Svajda Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1558
Surface ELO
6.5+119 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1730
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 9 on grass
Surface form
6.17 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Llamas Ruiz P.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Svajda Z.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
68
Break points saved·Even
88
89
Break points won·Dominant
39
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
92

Llamas Ruiz P.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Svajda Z.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
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