Jack Kennedy vs Kaichi Uchida — Cary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Jack Kennedy
#392ATP
1581ELO
1411Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 · 3rd on
Kaichi Uchida
JPN
Kaichi Uchida
#261ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Kennedy J.
6-4 6-4
Uchida K.
Kennedy J.
662
Uchida K.
440

Jack Kennedy defeated Kaichi Uchida in the Round of 32 of the Cary hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4. Kennedy served eight aces to Uchida's six and converted all of his break points, compared to Uchida's 20%. Kennedy won three service breaks to Uchida's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Kennedy edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kennedy J.Uchida K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Clear edge
46%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Kennedy J.82%
Uchida K.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kennedy J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kennedy J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Uchida K.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1334
7.8Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.32 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw