Guido Ivan Justo vs Sebastian GimaBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#238ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
#516ATP
1133ELO
1139Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLL
Justo G.
vs
Gima S.

Guido Ivan Justo faces Sebastian Gima in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Guido Ivan Justo holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 290-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Justo G.79%
Gima S.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Justo G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.7+293 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Clay Elo 1139
8.9Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1133
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Justo G.Stable
Gima S.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

44 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
37%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Justo G.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gima S.

Gima S.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Justo G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
70

Justo G.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Gima S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.