Fajing Sun vs Braden Shick — Cary Round of 32
CHN
Sun F.
Fajing Sun faces Braden Shick in the Cary round of 32 on hard. Fajing Sun is the paper favourite — ranked #261, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Braden Shick arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Fajing Sun's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Sun F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Braden Shick's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Fajing Sun's has cooled.
- Surface form: Fajing Sun 2 of 7, Braden Shick 5 of 7 on hard recently — Braden Shick the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.