Akira Santillan vs Denis YevseyevBrasov Qualifying Final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#310ATP
1376ELO
1337Clay ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
#448ATP
1396ELO
1366Clay ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Santillan A.
4-6 6-1 6-1
Yevseyev D.
Santillan A.
4662
Yevseyev D.
6111

Akira Santillan fought back from a set down to beat Denis Yevseyev 4-6 6-1 6-1 in the Brasov qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 1: Akira Santillan broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 4: A 13-point game with four deuces went Akira Santillan's way.
  • Pressure points: Akira Santillan converted 7 of 8 break points; Denis Yevseyev converted 3 of 9 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Santillan A.
Yevseyev D.
Break points won
7/8
3/9
Break points saved
6/9
1/8

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Santillan A.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Yevseyev D.

Yevseyev D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Santillan A.

Serve advantage — Yevseyev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
0
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
32
15
Break points won·Slight edge
16
21
Deciding sets·Even
11
15
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
15
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC
Santillan A.44%
Yevseyev D.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1337
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1376
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1396
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
77

Santillan A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Yevseyev D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 50%