Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu — Wimbledon Round of 128
Ruzic A.
Antonia Ruzic faces Emma Raducanu in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Emma Raducanu is the paper favourite — ranked #32, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage — but Antonia Ruzic has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Raducanu E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Antonia Ruzic 104 games in 14 days, Emma Raducanu 74.
- Surface form: Antonia Ruzic 2 of 5, Emma Raducanu 4 of 5 on grass recently — Emma Raducanu the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Antonia Ruzic leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Dubai 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRuzic A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Raducanu E.: 12 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Dubai | R64 | hard | Antonia Ruzic | 6-1 5-7 6-2 |