Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan — Quito Round of 32
Quito · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
Sakamoto P.vs
Magadan A.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTCSakamoto P.51%
Magadan A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.6Clay Elo 1238
5.1Overall Elo 1281
ELO gap4.9Overall Elo 1274
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.94 of last 9 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Sakamoto P.Stable
Magadan A.Stable
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
21 vs 11 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.