Ilia Simakin vs Maxime JanvierBrasov Qualifying Final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#267ATP
1463ELO
1282Clay ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#566ATP
1297ELO
1261Clay ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWLL
Simakin I.
4-6 6-2 7-6
Janvier M.
Simakin I.
4672
Janvier M.
6261

Ilia Simakin won the Brasov final, defeating Maxime Janvier 4-6, 6-2, 7-6. Simakin served eight aces to Janvier's six and won 78 percent of his first-serve points to Janvier's 72 percent. Simakin converted 17 percent of his break points and won two service breaks to Janvier's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
71
Break points won·Dominant
26
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Simakin I.92%
Janvier M.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Simakin I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1261
7.6Overall Elo 1503
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1297
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.61 of last 9 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Simakin I.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw