Ilia Simakin vs Maxime JanvierBrasov Qualifying Final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#304ATP
1503ELO
1322Clay ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#572ATP
1297ELO
1261Clay ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWWWL
Simakin I.
4-6 6-2 7-6
Janvier M.
Simakin I.
46772
Janvier M.
62641

Ilia Simakin edged the deciding set 7-6 to get past Maxime Janvier in the Brasov qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: Maxime Janvier broke serve.
  • Comeback: Ilia Simakin recovered from a set deficit to win.
  • Pressure points: Ilia Simakin converted 2 of 12 break points; Maxime Janvier converted 1 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Simakin I.
Janvier M.
Break points won
2/12
1/2
Break points saved
1/2
10/12

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Simakin I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Janvier M.

Janvier M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Serve advantage — Simakin I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Simakin I.89%
Janvier M.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Simakin I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1261
7.6Overall Elo 1503
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1297
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.61 of last 9 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
70

Simakin I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Janvier M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%