Sergey Fomin vs Olle WallinBrasov Qualifying Final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#299ATP
1435ELO
1432Clay ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#447ATP
1300ELO
1289Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWLLL
Fomin S.
6-3 4-6 1-6
Wallin O.
Fomin S.
6411
Wallin O.
3662

Olle Wallin recovered from a set down to defeat Sergey Fomin 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Brasov qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 4: A 15-point game with five deuces went Sergey Fomin's way.
  • Set 3, game 1: Olle Wallin broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Sergey Fomin converted 3 of 8 break points; Olle Wallin converted 5 of 12 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Fomin S.
Wallin O.
Break points won
3/8
5/12
Break points saved
7/12
5/8

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fomin S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Wallin O.

Wallin O.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Fomin S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Fomin S.88%
Wallin O.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fomin S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.8+144 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1289
6.7Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1300
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
71

Fomin S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Wallin O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%