Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian — Quito Round of 32
Mena F.Facundo Mena faces Valerio Aboian in the Quito round of 32 on clay. Facundo Mena is the paper favourite — ranked #353, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Valerio Aboian arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Facundo Mena's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Facundo Mena 4 of 8, Valerio Aboian 5 of 8 on clay recently — Valerio Aboian the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Valerio Aboian carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.