Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPiracicaba Quarter-final

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#273ATP
1473ELO
1460Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
clay
#286ATP
1463ELO
1449Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Hardt N.
2-6 0-2
La Serna J.
Hardt N.
200
La Serna J.
621

Juan Manuel La Serna won the Piracicaba clay court match against Nick Hardt after Hardt retired during the contest. At the time of retirement, La Serna led 6-2, 2-0. La Serna hit 2 aces and 0 double faults, while Hardt had 0 aces and 5 double faults.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Hardt N.45%
La Serna J.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1390
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1410
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1435
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw