Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPiracicaba Round of 16

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#527ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
clay
#277ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
3-6 6-4 2-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
3621
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6462

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos in the Round of 16 at the Piracicaba tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 in favor of Pucinelli De Almeida. He converted 5 service breaks to 3 for his opponent, and had a first-serve win percentage of 70 compared to 59 for Saraiva Dos Santos.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.18%
Pucinelli De Almeida M.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1455
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw