Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPiracicaba Quarter-final

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#497ATP
1281ELO
1285Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
clay
#277ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Aguilar Cardozo J.
6-7 2-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Aguilar Cardozo J.
620
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
762

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the Piracicaba tournament, played on clay, with a score of 7-6, 6-2. Pucinelli De Almeida hit 0 aces and 3 double faults, winning 59% of his first serves and converting 67% of his break points. Aguilar Cardozo had 0 aces, 1 double fault, 48% first-serve win percentage, and 80% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Aguilar Cardozo J.20%
Pucinelli De Almeida M.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1511
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1493
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw