Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng — Wimbledon Qualifying Final
Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
1 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
USA26#113ATP
1695ELO
1515Grass ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Smith C.4-6 6-4 2-6 3-6
Zheng M.
Smith C.
46231
Zheng M.
64663
Michael Zheng won the Wimbledon final, defeating Colton Smith 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. Zheng served 8 aces to Smith's 3 and committed 4 double faults to Smith's 6. Zheng won 68% of his first serves and converted 55% of break points, breaking Smith's serve 6 times to Smith's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Michael Zheng closed it out in four sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCSmith C.42%
Zheng M.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.3+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.7Grass Elo 1499
4.7Overall Elo 1634
ELO gap5.3Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface formFatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%