Oliver Tarvet vs Stefanos SakellaridisWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#436ATP
1490ELO
1505Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#155ATP
1631ELO
1559Grass ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
Tarvet O.
6-4 6-2 7-5
Sakellaridis S.
Tarvet O.
6673
Sakellaridis S.
4250

Oliver Tarvet won the Wimbledon final, defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-4, 6-2, 7-5. Tarvet served 4 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. Tarvet broke Sakellaridis' serve 4 times, compared to Sakellaridis' 1 service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Oliver Tarvet closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
77%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tarvet O.30%
Sakellaridis S.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakellaridis S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+36 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1497
4.0Overall Elo 1547
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw