Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan SchoolkateWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#129ATP
1477ELO
1442Grass ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#187ATP
1549ELO
1533Grass ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLL
Mejia N.
6-4 6-4 6-4
Schoolkate T.
Mejia N.
6663
Schoolkate T.
4440

Nicolas Mejia won the Wimbledon final, defeating Tristan Schoolkate 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. Mejia and Schoolkate did not hit any aces and four double faults respectively, with Mejia converting 33% of break points and Schoolkate converting none. Mejia won one service break to Schoolkate's zero.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Mejia edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-19Winston-SalemQ2hardTristan Schoolkate7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
90
Break points won·Slight edge
6
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
85
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
38
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mejia N.30%
Schoolkate T.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schoolkate T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1504
Surface ELO
5.2+12 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1607
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
100

Mejia N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw