Claire Liu vs Elena PridankinaWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#113WTA
1669ELO
1514Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#185WTA
1561ELO
1387Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Liu C.
6-2 4-6 6-1
Pridankina E.
Liu C.
6462
Pridankina E.
2611

Claire Liu won the Wimbledon final, defeating Elena Pridankina 6-2, 4-6, 6-1. Liu dominated the match with 6 aces to Pridankina's 1 and converted all of her break points, compared to Pridankina's 33%. Liu won 70% of her first serves, while Pridankina won 48%, and Liu secured 4 service breaks to Pridankina's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Claire Liu came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Liu C.71%
Pridankina E.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Liu C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1488
5.8Overall Elo 1635
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1568
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Pridankina E.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw