Katie Volynets vs Leolia Jeanjean

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final

USA5

Katie Volynets

#93WTA

1786ELO

1648Grass ELO

24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWWWW

0 — 2

Sets

Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 14:50

grass

FRA23

Leolia Jeanjean

#117WTA

1653ELO

1501Grass ELO

30 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWLWWW

Volynets K.

3-6 4-6

Jeanjean L.

Volynets K.

340

Jeanjean L.

662

Leolia Jeanjean won the Wimbledon final, defeating Katie Volynets 6-3, 6-4. Jeanjean served two aces to Volynets' zero and converted 75% of her break points to overcome Volynets' 9%. Jeanjean won three service breaks to Volynets' one.

Key context

Match story: Leolia Jeanjean closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Volynets K.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Jeanjean L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Serve advantage — Volynets K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Volynets K.Jeanjean L.

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Volynets K.Jeanjean L.

1st serve in·Clear edge

76%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

60%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

48%

Service points won·Even

57%

58%

Return points won·Slight edge

47%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

54%

61%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.5

3.1

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.3

4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Volynets K.Jeanjean L.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Volynets K.74%

Jeanjean L.26%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Volynets K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Volynets K.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Jeanjean L.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0+2 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

5.0Grass Elo 1497

6.2Overall Elo 1646

ELO gap

3.8Overall Elo 1549

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.37 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.75 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R64 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Volynets K.Jeanjean L.

Freshness·Even

Volynets K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

31°CClear

Wind 23 km/hHumidity 50%

Katie Volynets vs Leolia Jeanjean — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass