Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
Harmony Tan
FRA
Harmony Tan
#201WTA
1585ELO
1570Grass ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
ITA
Tyra Caterina Grant
#151WTA
1672ELO
1511Grass ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Tan H.
4-6 6-7
Caterina Grant T.
Tan H.
460
Caterina Grant T.
672

Tyra Caterina Grant won the Wimbledon final, defeating Harmony Tan 6-4, 7-6. Grant served well, winning 88% of her first-serve points and converting both of her break points. She secured the win with two service breaks, while Tan did not manage to break Grant's serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tan H.Caterina Grant T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tan H.40%
Caterina Grant T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Caterina Grant T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tan H.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Caterina Grant T.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1512
4.9Overall Elo 1612
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1617
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tan H.Caterina Grant T.
Freshness·
100
—

Tan H.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw