Lina Gjorcheska vs Lucia BronzettiWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#214WTA
1471ELO
1421Grass ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#120WTA
1622ELO
1485Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Gjorcheska L.
6-1 6-2
Bronzetti L.
Gjorcheska L.
662
Bronzetti L.
120

Lina Gjorcheska won the Wimbledon final, defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-1, 6-2. Gjorcheska dominated the match, serving 8 aces to Bronzetti's 1 and converting 56% of her break points to secure 5 service breaks. Bronzetti converted just 8% of her break points and was broken 5 times.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-09W60 BellinzonaQFclayLucia Bronzetti2-6 7-6(3) 6-0
2021-02-23W25 MoscowR32hardLina Gjorcheska5-7 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
49%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Gjorcheska L.30%
Bronzetti L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bronzetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1463
3.7Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1637
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
51

Gjorcheska L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw