Tereza Valentova vs Ajla TomljanovicEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#61WTA
1844ELO
1641Grass ELO
$549kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWWWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#98WTA
1723ELO
1667Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLL
Valentova T.
vs
Tomljanovic A.

Tereza Valentova faces Ajla Tomljanovic in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Tereza Valentova is the paper favourite — ranked #61 — but Ajla Tomljanovic rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Valentova T.71%
Tomljanovic A.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1641
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Grass Elo edge
6.5Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1723
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.03 of last 5 on grass
Surface form
6.96 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.4Won 56% in GBR (25)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Valentova T.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
68

Valentova T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.