Maria Timofeeva vs Veronika PodrezWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#96WTA
1696ELO
1435Grass ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#134WTA
1620ELO
1455Grass ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
Timofeeva M.
6-4 6-2
Podrez V.
Timofeeva M.
662
Podrez V.
420

Maria Timofeeva defeated Veronika Podrez 6-4, 6-2 in the semifinals of Wimbledon. Timofeeva hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 74% of her first serves and converting 60% of her break points. She won 6 service breaks to Podrez's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.57%
Podrez V.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1485
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Grass Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1598
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.11 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
88

Timofeeva M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Podrez V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw