Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Madison Keys — Eastbourne Round of 16
USA
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro faces Madison Keys in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Madison Keys holds the paper edge — ranked #27, a roughly 170-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Keys M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Madison Keys has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 92 vs 52).
- Serve & return: Madison Keys leads on Serve Rating (38), Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on Return Rating (62).
- Last match: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro handed Alicia Dudeney a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBouzas Maneiro J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Keys M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.