Darja Semenistaja vs Nao HibinoWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#109WTA
1654ELO
1548Grass ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#225WTA
1560ELO
1479Grass ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Semenistaja D.
6-4 1-6 6-2
Hibino N.
Semenistaja D.
6162
Hibino N.
4621

Darja Semenistaja defeated Nao Hibino in the Wimbledon semifinals, advancing with a 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 victory. Semenistaja hit one ace and one double fault, while converting 40% of her break points and winning two service breaks. Hibino had four aces and three double faults, converting 38% of her break points and winning three service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-01W100 Wiesbaden 1R16clayDarja Semenistaja6-4 6-4
2022-02-11W25 CancunQFhardDarja Semenistaja7-5 2-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
42%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
19
Break points saved·Dominant
52
3
Break points won·Slight edge
96
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Semenistaja D.72%
Hibino N.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Semenistaja D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1433
6.2Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1532
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.85 of last 9 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
88

Semenistaja D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Hibino N.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw