Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson JonesWimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#182WTA
1491ELO
1432Grass ELO
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#139WTA
1671ELO
1511Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWL
Gasanova A.
5-7 6-4 6-3
Jones E.
Gasanova A.
5662
Jones E.
7431

Anastasia Gasanova defeated Emerson Jones in the semifinals of Wimbledon, 5-7, 6-4, 6-3. Gasanova hit one ace and three double faults, while Jones had three aces and 12 double faults. Gasanova converted 67 percent of her break points and won six service breaks to Jones' five.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-17W100 Macon 1QFhardEmerson Jones1-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Gasanova A.20%
Jones E.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jones E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1485
4.6Overall Elo 1565
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1600
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.14 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
4.23 of last 7 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Gasanova A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw