Zeynep Sonmez vs Sara Bejlek — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16

TURQ

Zeynep Sonmez

#54WTA

1771ELO

1647Grass ELO

24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWLWW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

COURT 1 · 3rd on

CZE

Sara Bejlek

#45WTA

1772ELO

1491Grass ELO

$565kYTD

$1.6MCAREER

20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLLLLW

Sonmez Z.

Bejlek S.

Zeynep Sonmez faces Sara Bejlek in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Sara Bejlek is the paper favourite — ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Zeynep Sonmez rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Sonmez Z.65%

Bejlek S.35%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sonmez Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Zeynep Sonmez comes in with 2 days of rest and 185 games in 14d, vs Sara Bejlek's 7 and 44.
Last match: Zeynep Sonmez dropped the opening set before beating Harriet Dart 4–6 6–2 7–5.
Last match: Sara Bejlek dropped the opening set before beating Laura Siegemund 3–6 7–6 7–6.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sonmez Z.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Bejlek S.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.9+156 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.1Grass Elo 1491

4.9Overall Elo 1771

ELO gap

5.1Overall Elo 1772

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

8.18 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

2.82 of last 8 on grass

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Sonmez Z.Stable

Bejlek S.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season

Sonmez Z.Bejlek S.

1st serve in·Even

62%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

63%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

47%

Service points won·Even

57%

Return points won·Even

46%

50%

Break points saved·Even

56%

55%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.0

1.1

Double faults / match·Even

2.5

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Sonmez Z.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sonmez Z.

Serve advantage — Bejlek S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Sonmez Z.Bejlek S.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Even

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Sonmez Z.Bejlek S.

Freshness·Dominant

Sonmez Z.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

32°CClear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-02-15	Dubai	R64	hard	Sara Bejlek	6-2 6-2