Polina Iatcenko vs Zhuoxuan Bai — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final
Iatcenko P.
Polina Iatcenko defeated Zhuoxuan Bai in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning 7-6, 6-2. Iatcenko hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Bai hit 2 aces and 4 double faults. Iatcenko won 73% of her first-serve points, converted 75% of her break points, and broke Bai's serve 6 times, compared to Bai's 4 breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Polina Iatcenko closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-14 | W25 Kachreti | SF | hard | Zhuoxuan Bai | 6-1 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Iatcenko P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadIatcenko P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bai Z.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About