Caty Mcnally vs Emiliana Arango — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
Caty Mcnally
USA
Caty Mcnally
#73WTA
1817ELO
1707Grass ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Emiliana Arango
COL
Emiliana Arango
#95WTA
1624ELO
1495Grass ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWL
Mcnally C.
6-3 6-0
Arango E.
Mcnally C.
662
Arango E.
300

Caty McNally defeated Emiliana Arango 6-3, 6-0 in the Round of 16 at Eastbourne. McNally won the match by converting four service breaks to Arango's one. The victory advanced McNally in the tournament.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mcnally C.Arango E.
1st serve in·Even
71%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcnally C.Arango E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
2
Break points saved·Clear edge
32
10
Break points won·Dominant
94
31
Deciding sets·Clear edge
44
24
Tiebreaks·
53
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Mcnally C.80%
Arango E.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mcnally C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcnally C.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Arango E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+76 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1465
6.9Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1550
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.23 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mcnally C.Arango E.
Freshness·Dominant
63
92

Mcnally C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Arango E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw