Mili Poljicak vs Sumit NagalTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#259ATP
1471ELO
1442Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
clay
#235ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Poljicak M.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Nagal S.
Poljicak M.
4651
Nagal S.
6372

Sumit Nagal defeated Mili Poljicak in the Round of 32 at the Targu Mures clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 in favor of Nagal. Both players secured two service breaks each, with Nagal converting 67% of his break points and Poljicak converting 50%.

Key context

  • Match story: Sumit Nagal closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
12
Break points saved·Even
77
76
Break points won·Even
7
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
13
3
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
69
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Poljicak M.49%
Nagal S.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1521
Surface ELO
5.6+49 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1516
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1574
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
82

Poljicak M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Nagal S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw