Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jacob Fearnley — Eastbourne Round of 32
GBRWC
Tirante T.
Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Jacob Fearnley in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Thiago Agustin Tirante holds the paper edge — ranked #52.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Tirante T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jacob Fearnley has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 86 vs 45).
- Fatigue load: Jacob Fearnley carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.