Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio BuseMallorca Round of 32

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 32
#53ATP
1833ELO
1673Grass ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#33ATP
1822ELO
1631Grass ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLLW
Tsitsipas S.
6-7 3-6
Buse I.
Tsitsipas S.
630
Buse I.
762

Ignacio Buse defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Round of 32 at the Mallorca grass tournament. Buse won the match in straight sets, taking the first set 7-6 and the second set 6-3.

Key context

  • Match story: Ignacio Buse closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-14GstaadR32clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
87
Break points won·Dominant
70
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Even
95
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Tsitsipas S.58%
Buse I.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.6+51 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1498
6.0Overall Elo 1840
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1756
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
96

Tsitsipas S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Buse I.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
37°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw