Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Denis YevseyevTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
1370ELO
1352Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
clay
#457ATP
1396ELO
1366Clay ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWWLWL
Boitan G.
vs
Yevseyev D.

Gabi Adrian Boitan faces Denis Yevseyev in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Denis Yevseyev brings the better recent clay form (4 of 8).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Boitan G.45%
Yevseyev D.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1352
Surface ELO
5.2+15 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1370
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1396
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Last match 2h38m
Prev. match
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Boitan G.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Yevseyev D.

Yevseyev D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Boitan G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Yevseyev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.