Nicolas Kicker vs Bruno FernandezPiracicaba Round of 32

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#343ATP
1351ELO
1342Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
clay
#604ATP
1201ELO
1193Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWWL
Kicker N.
vs
Fernandez B.

Nicolas Kicker faces Bruno Fernandez in the Piracicaba round of 32 on clay. Nicolas Kicker holds the paper edge — ranked #343, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Kicker N.66%
Fernandez B.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kicker N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+149 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1193
6.9Overall Elo 1351
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1201
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kicker N.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Fernandez B.

Fernandez B.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kicker N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
86

Kicker N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Fernandez B.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.