Miguel Damas vs Benjamin HassanTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#269ATP
1419ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
clay
#442ATP
1451ELO
1454Clay ELO
31 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLWLW
Damas M.
vs
Hassan B.

Miguel Damas faces Benjamin Hassan in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Miguel Damas is the paper favourite — ranked #269 — but Benjamin Hassan arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 10 on clay to Miguel Damas's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Damas M.46%
Hassan B.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1386
Surface ELO
5.9+68 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1419
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1451
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.21 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Damas M.Stable
Hassan B.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Damas M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Hassan B.

Hassan B.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Damas M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
42
Break points saved·Dominant
29
68
Break points won·Even
17
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
52
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
87

Damas M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Hassan B.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.