Maya Joint vs Emiliana ArangoEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#53WTA
1690ELO
1638Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLLLL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#100WTA
1603ELO
1437Grass ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLLLW
Joint M.
vs
Arango E.

Maya Joint faces Emiliana Arango in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Maya Joint holds the paper edge — ranked #53, defending the title, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Joint M.81%
Arango E.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Joint M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+202 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Grass Elo 1436
6.1Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1603
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.92 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Joint M.Stable
Arango E.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Joint M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Serve advantage — Arango E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
56
Break points won·Clear edge
99
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
70
Tiebreaks·
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Joint M.Arango E.
0
Serve
94
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
73

Joint M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Arango E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Snigur D. v Kalinina A.
  2. 2Joint M. v Arango E.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.